New

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Meet the chickens
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)
View in 3D Steam Market

Wear

FN $50.56MW $23.60FT $6.27WW $6.23BS $6.78

Details

Weapon
 UMP-45
Float range
0.06 – 0.80
Category
SMGs
Paint index
169
Legacy model
No
Pattern
Fallout Warning
Side
Both Teams
Trade-up contracts
Eligible

Colours

Gray 57%
Red 29%
Black 10%
Other 4%

Market activity

Liquidity
55 / 100
Fair
Popularity
8 / 100
Low
Cost to sell 55
Market supply 15
Sales velocity 21

Steam order book

C tier liquidity
Highest buy order
$57.09
Lowest sell listing
$65.93
Spread
$8.8413.41%
114 buy orders 1 sell listings

Where it comes from

Renders

Factory New
UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) — Dust II light, front

Game files

The textures CS2 builds this skin from, extracted from the game files.

Anodized — pattern + paletteA base pattern recoloured by the palette below — same design, different colours.

Palette
Industrial Grade The Nuke Collection

UMP-45 Fallout Warning (Factory New)

Factory New

Lowest price

$50.56

on Dupe.fi, the cheapest of 17 markets $8.29 less than Steam

Buy on Dupe.fi
Median
$57.58
24 hours
+13.8%
7 days
+14.0%
30 days
+5.9%

76 listings across all markets

Marketsfor UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

17 with a price
  • Dupe.fi Lowest
    $50.56 Buy
  • BUFF163
    $52.99 Buy
  • Skins.com
    $55.41 Buy
  • HaloSkins
    $56.81 Buy
  • Waxpeer
    $57.02 Buy
  • CS.MONEY
    $57.38 Buy
  • ShadowPay
    $57.52 Buy
  • LIS-SKINS
    $57.57 Buy
25 markets without a price

Price historyof UMP-45 | Fallout Warning

$57.58

+5.9% over 30D·median across markets

Oct 1, 2026 Oct 31, 2026

Price by float

The lowest price you can buy at, across markets, for each float. Jumps at the wear boundaries are real.

$57.57

cheapest at float 0.0400 · typical $65.95–$94.06 · 4 listings on 2 markets nearby

0.040.050.060.07
Cheapest
Lowest cross-market price by float range
Float rangeLowest price
FN 0.06 – 0.07$56.07

In short

Origin

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning can be obtained by opening ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, DreamHack 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, ESL One Katowice 2015 Nuke Souvenir Package, MLG Columbus 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Krakow 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, or Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is also part of the The Nuke Collection collection.

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning has a Industrial Grade rarity and is categorised as SMGs, with an estimated case drop chance of 5.33%.

Availability

The cheapest UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is $50.56 on Dupe.fi, with prices across 17 markets ranging up to $64.83.

Price trend

Over the last 30 days the cross-market median price of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) went from $54.37 to $57.58 (+5.9%), with a low of $50.50 on Oct 27 and a high of $60.36 on Oct 9. That is +13.9% over the last 7 days. On the Steam Community Market the highest buy order is $57.09 and the lowest listing is $65.93 (114 buy orders, 1 listings).

Versions

The float value ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, available in all five wear conditions. It also has a Souvenir version.

Finish Style

This UMP-45 features the Fallout Warning design.

Planning a contract with UMP-45 | Fallout Warning? Simulate output floats, odds and profit in the CS2 trade-up calculator.

Guides

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UMP-45 | Fallout Warning — Frequently Asked Questions

How much does the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) cost?
As of Oct 2026, the cheapest UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) costs $50.56 on Dupe.fi. CSSkinLab compares live prices across 17 CS2 marketplaces so you always see the cheapest offer first.
What is the float range of the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)?
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) has a float range of 0.06 – 0.80. Lower floats mean less visible wear on the skin. The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning exists in 5 wear tiers: Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred.
Does the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning come in StatTrak™ or Souvenir?
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning also drops as a Souvenir version from tournament packages, but it does not exist in StatTrak™.
Can I use the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) in a trade-up?
Yes. The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) can be used as an input in a trade-up contract: combine ten Industrial Grade skins to receive one skin of the next rarity tier. Use the CSSkinLab trade-up calculator to find the best inputs and simulate float outcomes and ROI, or work backwards from a target skin with the reverse calculator.
Where does the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning drop from?
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning drops from the ESL One Cologne 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, DreamHack 2014 Nuke Souvenir Package, ESL One Katowice 2015 Nuke Souvenir Package, MLG Columbus 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Krakow 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package and Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package with an estimated drop chance of 5.33% per opening. It belongs to the The Nuke Collection. You can also buy it directly from community marketplaces, usually for less than the cost of opening cases.
What rarity is the UMP-45 | Fallout Warning?
The UMP-45 | Fallout Warning is a Industrial Grade rarity skin. Rarity determines how often it drops and which trade-up contracts it fits into.