Details
- Weapon
- XM1014
- Float range
- 0.00 – 1.00
- Category
- Heavy
- Paint index
- 1103
- Legacy model
- No
- Pattern
- Watchdog
- Side
- Both Teams
- Trade-up contracts
- Eligible
Colours
Green 35%
Orange 24%
Brown 22%
Other 19%
Market activity
- Liquidity
- 40 / 100
- Fair
- Popularity
- 65 / 100
- Fair
Demand 36
Cost to sell 55
Speed to sell 36
Market supply 65
Sales velocity 60
Steam order book
B tier liquidity- Highest buy order
- $6.93
- Lowest sell listing
- $7.90
- Spread
- $0.9712.28%
9.4k buy orders 54 sell listings
Where it comes from
Renders
Factory New
Game files
The textures CS2 builds this skin from, extracted from the game files.
Anodized — pattern + paletteA base pattern recoloured by the palette below — same design, different colours.
Palette
Mil-Spec Grade 
The Operation Riptide Collection
The Operation Riptide CollectionXM1014 Watchdog (Factory New)
Factory New
- Median
- $6.23
- 24 hours
- +1.3%
-
- 7 days
- −0.2%
-
- 30 days
- −3.8%
-
1,007 listings across all markets
Marketsfor XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)
16 with a price
BUFF163 Lowest99 listed $5.69 Buy
CSFloat186 listed $5.99 Buy
Skins.com1 listed $6.08 Buy
ShadowPay24 listed $6.21 Buy
CSBoard179 listed $6.22 Buy
SkinSell60 listed $6.22 Buy
HaloSkins40 listed $6.23 Buy
Dupe.fi19 listed $6.30 Buy
26 markets without a price
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Price historyof XM1014 | Watchdog
$6.23
−8.1% over 30D·median across markets
Oct 1, 2026 Oct 31, 2026
Price by float
The lowest price you can buy at, across markets, for each float. Jumps at the wear boundaries are real.
$6.24
cheapest at float 0.0200 · 1 listing on 1 market nearby
0.000.020.050.07
Cheapest Middle half of listings Median
| Float range | Lowest price | Listings |
|---|---|---|
| FN <0.02 | $7.07 | |
| 0.02 – 0.03 | $6.36 | |
| 0.03 – 0.04 | $7.41 | |
| 0.04 – 0.05 | $6.47 | |
| 0.05 – 0.06 | $6.55 | |
| 0.06 – 0.07 | $6.38 |
In short
Origin
The XM1014 | Watchdog can be obtained by opening Operation Riptide Case. It is also part of the The Operation Riptide Collection collection.
Rarity
The XM1014 | Watchdog has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity and is categorised as Heavy, with an estimated case drop chance of 11.4%.
Availability
The cheapest XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) is $5.69 on BUFF163, with prices across 16 markets ranging up to $7.69.
Price trend
Over the last 30 days the cross-market median price of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) went from $6.78 to $6.23 (−8.1%), with a low of $6.23 on Oct 31 and a high of $7.00 on Oct 10. That is −2.2% over the last 7 days. On the Steam Community Market the highest buy order is $6.93 and the lowest listing is $7.90 (9,368 buy orders, 54 listings).
Versions
The float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, available in all five wear conditions. It also has a StatTrak™ version and a Souvenir version.
Finish Style
This XM1014 features the Watchdog design.
Planning a contract with XM1014 | Watchdog? Simulate output floats, odds and profit in the CS2 trade-up calculator.
Guides
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More XM1014 skins
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XM1014 XoooM, Industrial Grade
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$0.95 – $2.22
ST $0.88 – $3.53
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XM1014 | Watchdog — Frequently Asked Questions
How much does the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) cost?
As of Oct 2026, the cheapest XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) costs $5.69 on BUFF163. CSSkinLab compares live prices across 16 CS2 marketplaces so you always see the cheapest offer first.
What is the float range of the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)?
The XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) has a float range of 0.00 – 1.00. Lower floats mean less visible wear on the skin. The XM1014 | Watchdog exists in 5 wear tiers: Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred.
Does the XM1014 | Watchdog come in StatTrak™ or Souvenir?
Yes. The XM1014 | Watchdog drops in both StatTrak™ (with a kill counter) and Souvenir versions, alongside the normal version. Each version trades at its own price.
Can I use the XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) in a trade-up?
Yes. The XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) can be used as an input in a trade-up contract: combine ten Mil-Spec Grade skins to receive one skin of the next rarity tier. Use the CSSkinLab trade-up calculator to find the best inputs and simulate float outcomes and ROI, or work backwards from a target skin with the reverse calculator.
Where does the XM1014 | Watchdog drop from?
The XM1014 | Watchdog drops from the Operation Riptide Case with an estimated drop chance of 11.4% per opening. It belongs to the The Operation Riptide Collection. You can also buy it directly from community marketplaces, usually for less than the cost of opening cases.
What rarity is the XM1014 | Watchdog?
The XM1014 | Watchdog is a Mil-Spec Grade rarity skin. Rarity determines how often it drops and which trade-up contracts it fits into.